Showing posts with label Magic Online. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Magic Online. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Good value in the Fifteenth Anniversary Leagues starting today

I am very excited for the Magic Online 15 year annniversary.

First there was the Battle of the Planes. I was not very excited about that but I know some people were, like my buddy Binkabi.



What I am excited for is the added Treasure Chests for anyone who does a 5-0, 4-1 or a 3-2 in the friendly leagues on Magic Online during June 21-28. That is what I am excited for. I am reluctant to play Leagues as I make a living doing internet content and the value in the leagues is not very good ... but now it is !

I will be taking RG Ponza into a Modern Friendly League and if I do well I might even try some Pauper. I think you should join me.


Full details here: http://magic.wizards.com/en/articles/archive/magic-digital/magic-onlines-fifteenth-anniversary-2017-06-07

Sunday, November 13, 2016

Changes to Magic Online Events

Wizards has announced several changes to the way Magic Online events work.

* Competetive draft leagues are added. Single elimination events. Better payouts.
* Existing 6-2-2-2 draft leagues renamed "Friendly Draft Leagues"
* Prestive Avatars added to show how awesome you are through your avatar.
* Treasure Chests get better cards and EV goes up about 50 cents per chest.
* Treaure Chests will become tradeable
* C16 and Conspiracy: Take the Crown cards added to treasure chests

Full announcement by Lee Sharpe here: http://magic.wizards.com/en/articles/archive/magic-online/magic-online-event-updates-november-2016-11-09

Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Strategies for trading and negotiating in general - Part 3

Next, I want to talk about the "throw in" guy. When I was younger, I traded often as my funds were very limited and it was hard for me to acquire new cards by means other than trading. I found that there were some people who would trade fairly and some that wouldn't.

The most unfair deals ended up being with the people who would say things like, "That's almost fair, can you just throw in some stuff?" Ultimately it ended up with both of us "throwing in" several inexpensive cards worth very little.

What I realized they were doing was getting incremental advantage by choosing my "throw ins" that were of higher value than theirs. By the end, they had a much better deal. As soon as I realized this, I found that when I would take the value of my "throw ins" they exceeded the value of a "good" card that I wanted from the other person. When I suggested them keeping their throw ins for another good card, they said no. This was to ensure they got a good card for another good card and ended better than they started.

My advice is to avoid throw ins at all costs. If you have to trade more than one card for a card, you're trading up, that's good a lot of the time, but when you both have lists of cards it tends to be less good of a deal. If your trade with someone and they insist on "throw ins" I recommend not trading with them. There are a lot of people to trade with especially on Magic Online, you'll certainly find someone who doesn't need "throw ins".





Wednesday, August 27, 2014

The new and "improved" standard

Hi Everyone!
If you saw the title and thought you must read this article, you likely already read Mark Rosewaters article on the new release cycle. The short version of that is, 2 set blocks and no core set and 18 month rotations for standard instead of 2 year rotations.

I thought to myself that this means that every 4 months, standard is going to rotate....but what does that mean, it means people will have to buy more cards. Seriously, think about it. Shorter rotation means that casual players who play Friday Night Magic will have a deck that will be good for about a year assuming it uses cards from the old block and the new block and the core set (we're assuming they made the deck right when the first set of a new block came out). The new format, making the same timing assumption, their deck only works for 18 months.

I hate to sound cynical to some readers, but seriously Wizards real purpose is to make more money. Mark Rosewater even said it would be "more work" for R&D that would be met by "additional staff". Sorry to burst everyone's bubble, but companies don't hire new staff because their employees are "working too hard", they hire new employees because they will create more revenue than they cost. I thought that part of the article was Rosewater trying to glaze over the fact that it's all about money, not "creativity" or whatever other crap they are selling as the reason (to be fair, I have said many times that Wizards is run by [people not well educated in the way of business] when it comes to business and it's possible that they are really doing this because "they care". But don't take that one to Vegas).

I'll do my best not to rant about Wizards anymore in this article because I know I have been doing a considerable amount of that lately.

I do however agree that the third set of blocks are usually the worst. Look at Saviors of Kamigawa, Maze's end, Fifth Dawn. I'm not saying they didn't have any good cards, I'm saying that these sets were bad for standard that they didn't add much to Standard (except SOK, worst set since Homelands and it still holds that title today).

What's the good side of all this? It's a big one, all the investors (or traders if you want to nitpick terms) in MTG and MTGO are going to have the opportunity to make even more money. Yay!!

Magic card prices are largely influenced by standard rotation, that's the best way to predict when cards will be high and low, not individual cards, that's a different kind of investing (that you should stay away from). When the sets rotate the prices change.

Here's how you make more money, new blocks will rotate every 6 months. It used to be every year. That's twice as many cycles of price fluctuations. I don't know what you plan to do, but I'm going to make some money on the new standard.

Sunday, August 24, 2014

The Great Depression of Magic Online



Hi Everyone!
A couple weeks ago I mentioned that Magic 2015 was doing really badly. None of the cards are worth much and at the time the expected value of a Magic 2015 sealed tournament was a greater than $10 loss based on 50% match wins. I have asked why. I’m always interesting in what everyone else thinks about the cause for this phenomenon. I have narrowed the cause of this down to two major causes and several minor causes. It seems like everything is doing really badly now (there exceptions like Liliana of the Veil and Wasteland).

The first major cause driving the prices of cards on MTGO down is the switch to version 4. I don’t argue that it’s terrible software, and Wizards is awful at everything except making fun games, but seriously, people are quitting over this? I think most people are stepping away because they need time to accept the change. If everyone were really quitting, there would be hundreds of collections for sale on eBay, and I’ve only seen a few lately. I think this a temporary change in price, and will be back to normal within 2 months.

The second major cause of the depressed MTGO economy is this is the uncertainty period after RTR/THS Standard but before THS/KTK. It’s an uncertain time and people have a tendency to hang on to their money in uncertain times, even in the stock markets. Additionally, it seems like a lot of people have sold their Vintage Masters cards to recoup tickets to but Khans of Tarkir when it comes out next month. Now that that’s happened, everyone else left holding Vintage cards is either someone who plays, or someone who is speculating the cards will go up. These two elements of uncertainty are major drivers of a sluggish economy. Look at surveys of the level of uncertainty of Americans during the Great Recession, it was at the highest point since the Depression, coincidence? I doubt it. Uncertainty causes people to hold on to their money.

There’s also one minor cause that I have seen quite a lot that I think is interesting, but never the less is still a minor contributor to the sluggish MTGO economy. This is people who played in paper and wanted to play Vintage for “cheap” so they signed up for an MTGO account. They got all the cards, and played, then it seems like many of them lost interest and decided to sell their collection. It was identify these kinds of collections because the collection had all Vintage/Legacy legal cards and the seller claimed they “tried MTGO” but are going back to paper.


While it’s important to understand the condition of the market and be able to effectively identify what stage of the cycle is currently occurring always remember that it’s unlikely that the economy won’t recover.
Mtg Confidant

Wednesday, March 5, 2014

What should you buy at any given moment?

I often receive questions like this: "Dan I have 205 tix on my account currently not playing mtgo can you give me some tips on what to invest and sell? Can log in everyday ect. Thanks"

That question is impossible to answer, because I have not been given enough information.


Look at some of the possible answers:

Invest everything in Pauper staples that are currently low

This is a high-return, high-risk investment. If you manage to buy Pauper cards for 15 cents each that have historically been over 1 ticket, you can get 500-2000% out of this after only 4-6 months, but so much can go wrong. What if the cards you bought are reprinted in Vintage Masters? What if the deck that uses the cards has a new replacement card, which prevents your cards from ever spiking again? What if Pauper never gets as popular as it used to be when Daily Event were around? 

Risk: High. Possible return: Up to 2000% in 6 months.

Invest everything in M14 Mythics and sell after rotiation for redemption

This is the safe alternative and still significantly better than any stock options. Look at the M13 Mythics. Right after rotation, they were all 2+ tickets. Currently you can buy some of the M14 Mythics below 50 cents. In November you should be able to sell them for at least 1 ticket each.

Risk: As low as it gets on Magic Online. Return: Up to 400% in 9 months. 100% looks very easy.

Invest Everything in Modern Staples right after Modern PTQ Season ends

If you go down this route, you will have to wait until August to buy. Then you wil have to wait until Modern PTQ season comes around again. That should happen in June 2015 but you never know with Wizards of the Coast. Looking at the way Modern cards are spiking already, you should be making some very nice profits.

Risk: Low.   Return: 100-600& in 10 months.  Cards will be very easy to move compared to the above alternatives.

Invest Everything in Theros cards when they bottom out. Sell during Standard PTQ Season

In June 2014, Theros cards will be at their lowest Point Before they rotate in October 2015. Why? Well, read this: http://mtgolibrary.blogspot.se/2013/11/when-to-invest-in-fall-set-theros-for.html

If you buy the Theros cards in June, you should be able to sell them in February (given that Standard PTQ Season do not move in 2015).

Risk: Medium. Return: Up to 100% in 8 months. Cards are super easy to move.

----------------

I could go on and I probably will at a later time. But the Point is that I can not answer your question unless you tell me your goals and answer the following questions:
  • Why are you investing in Magic Online?
  • When do you need the Money?
  • What will you do with you profit?
  • What kind of risk are you willing to take? Could you take a loss?










Sunday, February 9, 2014

A sample invasion block draft

Four days ago I wrote about the Invasion Block Flashback drafts happening this week: http://mtgolibrary.blogspot.se/2014/02/drafting-invasion-block.html

As this is one of my favorite draft formats, I quickly jumped into a queue, trying to put my own theories into practice:





This was my deck after the draft portion:

1 Kavu Runner
5 Mountain
1 Reckless Spite
1 Terminal Moraine
1 Tribal Flames
1 Zombie Boa
1 Skittish Kavu
1 Magma Burst
2 Reef Shaman
1 Sea Snidd
1 Quicksilver Dagger
8 Island
1 Bog Down
1 Exclude
1 Hunting Drake
1 Urborg Uprising
1 Tundra Kavu
1 Thunderscape Battlemage
1 Volcano Imp
1 Ancient Kavu
2 Living Airship
2 Arctic Merfolk
4 Swamp

Not the best Grixis deck I have seen. Not by a long shot. Still, there were some decent removal.

After luckboxing the first match, it was time for the second:


And here is the final round video:



Try the format while you can. It will be gone by Wednesday. It is a lot of fun.

Here are some other useful links for the format:

Watch this to see other drafters drafting IPA:
http://www.draftmagic.com/2012/06/22/ipa-invasionplaneshiftapocalypse-draft-1/
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ItbNlyqc7NY
http://www.mtgoacademy.com/lets-play-magic-online-invasion-block-draft-4/
http://www.twitch.tv/numotthenummy/b/322134802

Read this to get better at IPA draft:
http://mtgolibrary.blogspot.se/2014/02/drafting-invasion-block.html
http://www.hipstersofthecoast.com/2013/06/drawing-live-flashback-draft-invasion/


Wednesday, November 6, 2013

The Top Decks of Pauper: DelverFiend

In this series we will walk you through the top decks of Pauper as played on Magic Online. Pauper is the Magic Online format where you are only allowed to play commons.  These are the official rules: http://www.wizards.com/magic/tcg/resources.aspx?x=magic/rules/pauper

We will be using this tier page as the basis or our walkthrough: http://mtgostrat.com/pauper-tier-listing/

 Today I will discuss the deck with the most names in Pauper: DelverFiend




This deck is also known as ... don't hold your breath ... Wee Fiend, ClopsFiend, Cyclops Fiend, Eye Candy, Izzet Cyclops, UR Fiend, Blue Red Delver, Wee Xerox, Cyclops, Thunderpants ... well, the list just goes on and on. I call it DelverFiend. I try to force all my videomakers to call it DelverFiend. Pauper to the People calls it DelverFiend. Lets just call it DelverFiend. 'Nuff said.
 

Example  deck list
Here is a recent list from player shoveldude35 who managed to pilot this list to a 3-1 finish despite a current metagame filled to the brim with creature kill spells.

9 Island
2 Izzet Guildgate
7 Mountain
4 Delver of Secrets
4 Kiln Fiend
4 Nivix Cyclops
4 Apostle's Blessing
3 Assault Strobe
3 Distortion Strike
4 Gitaxian Probe
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Manamorphose
4 Ponder
4 Preordain

Sideboard
3 Dispel
3 Essence Scatter
2 Flame Slash
4 Raze
3 Vapor Snag

About the deck
The metagame is really wrong for this deck right now with MBC and blue base control decks such as UB Trinket Control running rampant.

However, the metagame is still in flux after the bannings of Cloudpost and Temporal Fissure. When Stompy returns in force, DelverFiend is there to prey on it.

The strategy is simply to get a Kiln Fiend or a Nivix Cyclops on the battlefield and then deal 20+ damage in one round. The deck can easily goldfish on turn 3 or 4 but is very vulnerable to removal.



 
Financial implications of the deck
This is a very cheap deck, except for the Hydroblasts and Pyroblasts you should probably play in your sideboard (even though shoveldude35 did not). This is an excellent budget deck for learning about Pauper. The whole deck without hydros and pyros costs about eight tickets on mtgotraders, cheaper at the wikiprice bots.
 
Learn more about DelverFiend
I interviewed Deluxeicoff about the deck when he had his DelverFiend phase and he had some great insights (and another deck list proposal): http://puremtgo.com/articles/pauper-chat-deluxeicoff-episode-2-elves-and-delverfiend
 
Do please note that this was pre-bannings, though.
 

My contact information
Twitter: @MagicGathstrat, youtube.com/magicgatheringstrat, magicgatheringstrat.facebook.com and mtgostrat.com
 
 
 

Sunday, October 27, 2013

The Top Decks of Pauper: UB Trinket Control

In this series we will walk you through the top decks of Pauper as played on Magic Online. Pauper is the Magic Online format where you are only allowed to play commons.  These are the official rules: http://www.wizards.com/magic/tcg/resources.aspx?x=magic/rules/pauper

We will be using this tier page as the basis or our walkthrough: http://mtgostrat.com/pauper-tier-listing/

 Today I will discuss my pet deck in Pauper: UB Trinket Control.




Example  deck list
This is the official deck list for the new metagame straight from the decks creator, Power_T.

4 Terramorphic Expanse
4 Mulldrifter
3 Vault of Whispers
3 Tragic Slip
1 Island
2 Executioner's Capsule
3 Trinket Mage
1 Bojuka Bog
3 Crypt Rats
2 Grim Harvest
4 Sign in Blood
2 Chittering Rats
4 Dimir Aqueduct
4 Diabolic Edict
7 Swamp
3 Undying Evil
4 Fume Spitter
1 Sylvok Lifestaff
4 Augur of Skulls
1 Barren Moor
Sideboard
4 Duress
1 Crypt Rats
2 Spinning Darkness
2 Chittering Rats
2 Deep Analysis
2 Geth's Verdict
1 Nihil Spellbomb
1 Sylvok Lifestaff 

About the deck
This deck was originally created by DC_Casanuda and then modified by pro tour alumni Power_T in the spring of 2012.


I have played no less than 653 matches with this deck in tournaments and practice, currently enjoying a 436-217 record. In my humble opinion this is the best deck in Pauper at this time. It is a tap-out control deck that requires a lot of practice but in the end it can just outvalue anything and it has game against the fast aggro decks and Delver due to its huge amount of cheap removal.
At the bottom you can find links to interviews I have made with the decks creator, including details on every significant matchup in the metagame.
If you like control and realize why this is better than playing Mono Black Control (hint: Blue draws more cards), this might just be the deck for you.


Financial implications of the deck

The Money cards in this deck are Crypt Rats and Diabolic Edict. The deck used to be a really good budget deck but that is no longer true. Chittering Rats are also over one dollar each, having gone up with 500% or more in a month recently. In the sideboard, Spinning Darkness is also an expensive card that can not easily be replaced. Deep Analysis used to be Money and will be again when people remember how good that card is against Mono Black Control.

As all Pauper cards, the Money cards fluctuate enormously in price, depending on which deck is the most popular in the metagame and if old sets are being drafted (which strangely enough has not happened in 2013 while it happened four or more times in 2002). You could probably just set your bots to buy both cards cheap and sell at three to five times more and you would make a profit in the long run. 
Vintage masters threaten to reprint a lot of the expensive Pauper cards but none of the cards in this deck are very likely, unless they really want them for the limited format. Daze, Gush and similar cards are in much clearer danger.

Learn more about UB Trinket Control
This is my interview with Power_T where he introduces the deck and discusses what it takes to play it:
  
http://youtube.googleapis.com/v/SuDh39fnifU
In this video we go through 1099 matches played with the deck as well as specific matchups

https://youtube.googleapis.com/v/nQKkrgpNgoc
I constantly write about this deck on my own Magic strategy site: http://mtgostrat.com/category/trinket-control/