Monday, August 29, 2011

Phantom Events: inflation and deflation

Phantom Events will bring a fresh breeze into Magic Online and probably will impact the secondary market in a large way.

They will be probably very popular (6 tixs instead of 24 is a huge attractive). The effect will be a larger number of tixs available on the market because:
  • people can only play a “fixed amont” of tournament per time, and only 6 tixs will exit the game instead of 24
  • a lower number of cards will enter the market (because there will be no cracked boosters at the end of the drafts.
This will result in a larger number of tixs available on the market and a lower number of cards, ending up in inflation, i.e. price increase of the cards.

We will see the effect in the long term. It could also be that people does not draft a “fixed amount” per time as supposed, but simply will draft more. Doing so, the number of tixs exiting Magic Online will be more or less the same as today (24 tixs, or multiple, per user) but the incoming number of cards will be less. In a nutshell, we will have less tixs and less cards, resulting in inflation or deflation according to the larger of the fluxes.

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