Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Buying cards at rotation

Every year people say that rotation is different every year - that this is the year that people have finally learned that the eternal cards are great pickups at rotation, that there is a huge number of speculators that are driving the market. The same is true for this year. True in the sense that people are saying that. And this year they may be correct!

Just look at the graph for Abrupt Decay.

http://www.mtggoldfish.com/price/Return+to+Ravnica/Abrupt+Decay#online

You should have picked this up long ago. It will not drop to its lowest point on October 20th as it "normally would".

But even then, this does not matter. You should still pick up all the cards you need for eternal formats two weeks after rotation. You should still buy all your speculative cards two weeks after rotation.

Why? Simple. They will not get any cheaper if they are indeed eternally playable. Even if you missed the boat on Abrupt Decay, people that play only Standard (and there must be plenty of such people as Standard is by far the largest format) will have to sell theirs now, increasing supply when demand stays the same.

There is also redemption happening roughly in December for Mythics, making them great pickups right after rotation.


2 comments:

  1. cards that are bad for modern do indeed drop value.

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  2. Yes, definitely. Only buy cards that are played in eternal formats ... or bulk cards that may one day be played in eternal formats. I should have mentioned that specifically but I assumed that anyone interested enough to read this know that. Sorry about that

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